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Showing posts with the label coronavirus

Not More Numbers!

I have done a couple of fairly recent posts on perspective. I have been amazed at the fear shown over Covid-19 from young people. I am not making light of any deaths. However, statistically Covid-19 has not been a significant cause of death for those under 65 at all. If you look under 55, it is even less. There are many other things that are as if not more likely to kill you. Some US Covid-19 numbers The most deaths in number and as a percentage of that population is in those over 75. That demographic represents just under 7% of the total population (6.88% of the numbers I was using). However, they account for just under 60% (59.6%) of all the Covid-19 deaths. Read those numbers again - 6 out of every 10 Covid-19 deaths in the US are in people 75 and older!  If you include the next demographic - 65 years and older (so it would include the previous group as well as those from 65 to 74 years old) you are now at almost 81% (80.9%) of all deaths from Covid-19. This group represents jus...

If They Say It On TV It Has To Be True, right?

The irresponsible reporting of the Covid-19 pandemic is getting ridiculous. If there are any of you out there that don't believe the reporting is no more than a way to generate panic and sow distrust of the government's handling of the crisis- here are some charts for you from the CDC. (taken from screenshots of the site today 7/24/20) First, the figures that all the reports are fixated on: (the growth in cases) You can see that the number of cases is growing quite a bit of late! The reporting on that number is correct. Now the one that matters: (deaths) I do my best not to participate in hyperbole, so I will mention that the deaths are not immediately reported and/or recorded. So, the figures after 7/4 on the chart will go up some for sure over the next weeks as these numbers come in. However, you can see the deaths are dropping almost exactly inversely to the cases! Even if the death rate was remaining the same, the overall number would be rising! (a percentage of a large num...

Second Class Citizens?

The "stay at home" restrictions are under a widespread debate currently. The arguments against are them being unconstitutional and an overreach of government against individuals. The arguments for are about saving lives and flattening the curve. As this debate reaches fever pitch around the country I had a thought and a different take on things. First, to state my position, I am against the restrictions remaining. I think all restrictions should be lifted and people should make their own decisions as to where they should and should not go. I am not saying we should abandon common sense measures like social distancing and all that entails, just the "keep businesses closed" part of all this. I am firmly convinced that the "cure" is much more dangerous (and deadly over the long-term) than the disease. So, you may judge what follows from that perspective if you like. The destruction of our economy and employment is a ridiculous "head in the sand...

TESTS?!? I DON'T DO WELL ON TESTS!

The mantra now on handling the pandemic is "TESTS"! The cries of "We need testing!" or "Tests are the way to restart the economy!" are everywhere. I have a couple of thoughts on that. (I will pause now while you recover from the shock of that statement) First - How do we test more than 300 million people?  If we set up 250,000 testing centers (and that is a HUGE "if" - to give you a comparison, there are less than 6,500 hospitals in the entire USA and "only" around 14,000 McDonalds!) that still means that each testing center would have to test @1,200 people. So, that means even at 100 people a day that would take @12 days - remember that. A much more reasonable number would be a couple of hundred in each State, so 5,000 to 10,000. If you take the 10,000 number that means the testing would take @10 months - remember this number as well. Second - What good are the tests for a disease that shows no symptoms in a majority of patien...

Virus, What Virus? The Covid-19 Timeline

Most of the media and all the Democrats would have you believe that President Trump and his administration totally botched the Covid-19 response. Here is a timeline of Covid-19 comments and responses from the very beginning of this mess as compiled from public records (although some particularly damning or callous comments have been deleted or changed in said record if you go to try to find them now).  January Jan. 4: The head of the University of Hong Kong’s Centre for Infection warns that “the city should implement the strictest possible monitoring system for a mystery new viral pneumonia that has infected dozens of people on the mainland, as it is highly possible that the illness is spreading from human to human." Jan. 6:  The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) issues a "level 1 travel watch — the lowest of its three levels — for China’s outbreak," according to the University of Minnesota's Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy. ...